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The Bear Comeback

Marco Fragnito | Robert R. Fragnito

The following is an excerpt from our September Monthly Market Commentary, published on September 7, 2022. Key Topics: The Federal Reserve, Inflation, Market Outlook, Recession Debate, and The Great Inflation of the 1970s.

U.S. equity markets staged an impressive rally in July after a historically awful first half of the year. All major indices posted their best months in over two-years as they surpassed their 50- and 100-day moving averages. Unfortunately, the gains we witnessed in July fizzled in August as investors quickly lost hope that a dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve was on the horizon.

At month’s-end, the S&P 500 retreated by 4.2%, the Nasdaq Composite dropped 4.6%, and the Dow Jones fell by 4%. Optimism over the possibility of lightening monetary policy, the driver of the summer rally, was effectively squashed at the annual


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